1/08/2018: PARTIDOS DE VUELTA PREVIA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

MIDTJYLLAND (DIN)-ASTANA (KAZ)

1/8/2018 , 20:00

Pese al buen resultado en la ida (perdiendo 2-1) los daneses del Midtjylland salieron bastante decepcionados por el equipo kazajo les ganó la partida en el tiempo de descuento. Astana es una de las sorpresas agradables del futbol puro del este de Europa en los últimos años y ha conseguido grandes metas en el futbol europeo como llegar a las fases finales. A buen seguro el gol conseguido en el minuto 94 tras un buen partido de los daneses condiciona en demasía este partido de vuelta. Apostamos por un pase de Astana el cual se blindará en defensa como si no hubiera un mañana.

BET365 WILLIAM HILL BWIN
1X2 X2 1.80 1.70 1.80
GOLES -2’5 1.80 1.80 1.80

 

De estas cuotas recomendamos al X2 y -2’5 goles. Combinadas nos dan una base interesante de 3.24. Midtjylland saldrá a ganar el partido , circunstancia que hará que Astana tenga sus posiblidades a la contra.

 

Resultados probables 0-0 / 1-1 / 0-1

malmÖ (SWE)- CLUJ (RUM)

1/8/18 a 20:15 horas

Los suecos del Malmo consiguieron una excelente victoria (0-1) en la ida ante el siempre difícil y rudo sistema de juego de los equipos rumanos. El pase de ronda está muy claro a favor del equipo sueco , los cuales también , están llevando una excelente racha de resultados en su campeonato doméstico (mientras que los rumanos han acabado de empezar su liga). Mejor forma, mayor rodamiento y gran resultado de ida hace que Malmö vaya a pasar esta ronda sin ningún tipo de problemas.

Nuestro análisis :

BET365 WILLIAM HILL BWIN
1X2 1 1.95 1.90 1.90
GOLES NO NO NO NO

 

Estudiadas todas las cuotas del mercado llegamos a la firme convicción que lo ideal es apostar por victoria de Malmo. La cuota que casi dobla lo apostado es bastante interesante. Probable marcador corto (-2’5 goles) pero ante un Cluj que debe abrirse y buscar gol dudamos en marcar esa opción como plausible.

 

Como posibles resultados vemos : 0-0/1-0/2-0

basel (sui) – paok (gre)

1/8/18 , 21:00

PAOK y BASILEA son dos equipos de un nivel bastante parecido . Tanto por plantillas como por competitividad de sus respectivas ligas. Los griegos parten con una ventaja mínima de 2-1 , lo que haría que tan solo con 1-0 pasarán los helvéticos. El ambiente en el estadio de Basilea apretará mucho y será una noche memorable en cuanto a ambiente. Basilea anda más rodado que los chicos del PAOK . Los suizos son explosivos y saldrán a por todas en la primera hora de partido, cosa que hará que haya goles. Prevemos un partido de +2’5 goles por ello, un 0-0 sería insostenible habida cuenta del resultado de ida.

BET365 WILLIAM HILL BWIN
1X2 1 2.00 1.90 2.00
1×2 1X 1.28 1.25 1.25
GOLES +2’5 1.95 1.90 1.90

 

Nuestro pronóstico está en la victoria de Basilea y , a su vez, vemos muy probable que marquen los griegos a la contra.

 

 

 

Resultados probables : 2-1/1-0/3-1/2-0

fc spartak trnava (esl)-legia varsovia

31 julio, 21:30 Horas

Legia, baluarte del futbol polaco en Europa en los últimos años , se vió muy sorprendido en su estadio , con una afición muy caliente, al perder contra los eslovacos del Trnava por 0-2. Todos esperaban un mejor resultado de los varsovios en su casa que es su fortín. Spartak Trnava lo tiene muy bien pero no debe confiarse. De hecho los mercados confían más en una victoria polaca que en la victoria del equipo de casa aun con la ventaja por 0-2 mencionada. Así pues veremos a un Legia desesperado dándolo todo por intentar solventar esta última oportunidad para poder acceder a la eliminatoria final para el gran premio de la temporada, las fases finales de la copa de Europa. Aún así pensamos que no ganarán los polacos y apostamos por un 1X que nos parece seguro y pocos goles (-2’5)

BET365 WILLIAM HILL BWIN
1X2 1X 1.66 1.60 1.60
GOLES -2.5 1.66 1.60 1.64

 

Como decíamos no vemos al equipo polaco con calidad suficiente como para levantar la losa del 0-2. Circunstancia que le hará jugar desesperado por marcar gol. Trnava jugará sin complejos y las contras le proporcionará oportunidades que significará más de un susto a la escuadra polaca.

 

 

Resultados posibles 0-0 / 1-0 / 1-1

 

APUESTA RECOMENDADA

suduva (lit) – estrella roja belgrado (ser)

1/8/2018 / 20:30 h.

Gran sorpresa la de los chicos lituanos en primera ronda al eliminar al «todo-poderoso» (al menos en primeras rondas) Apoel de Nicosia. Un club como el Suduva, digamos que cuasi-profesional , eliminar a todo un histórico , en primera ronda, como es el Apoel hace que toda Europa , ipso facto, cuente con su simpatía. No obstante todo vuelve a su cauce y lo más normal es que en la segunda ronda cayeran y así parece que será ante el, otro histótico, Estrella Roja de Blegrado. La ida es una losa para el equipo lituano (3-0) pero en el aspecto sólo técnico, porque en el aspecto moral el Suduva ya ganó pasando la primera ronda. Prevemos bajo estas premisas que veremos un partido de goles. Estrela Roja no saldrá , para nada, con equipos de prueba o suplentes, nunca hay que fiarse y más teniendo en cuenta lo que hicieron en primer ronda los lituanos. Esto hará que Estrella Roja gane el partido y haya goles (seguro +2’5) . Por lo tanto teniendo en cuenta nuestras consideraciones :

BET365 WILLIAM HILL BWIN
1X2 2 1.80 1.70 1.80
GOLES +2.5 2.00 2.00 1.90
GOLES AMBOS MARCAN 1.80 1.70 1.80

 

Apostamos por la victoria del Estrella Roja. Suduva saldrá sin complejos a por el partido lo que dejará muchos espacios atrás. Que Suduva saliera a la defensiva o «alterado» por pasar la eliminatoria no tiene ningún sentido. Esto hará que veamos un partido muy abierto y con goles. Como vemos las cuotas del mercado son bastante interesantes para combinarlas en exlusiva en este partido o con otros de los explicados anteriormente.

 

Los resultados probables son 1-2 / 0-2 / 0-3

 

COMBINADA DE LA VUELTA DE LA CHAMPIONS

MIDTJYLLAND – ASTANA X2 (1.80)
BASEL – PAOL +2.5 (1.95)
SUDUVA – ESTRELLA ROJA 2(1.80)
TOTAL CUOTA 6.31

 

¡Comparte!

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